Um estudo sobre a eficácia do desenvolvimento financeiro no crescimento económico de Marrocos
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.23882/rmd.24201Palavras-chave:
crescimento económico, desenvolvimento financeiro, crédito privado à economia, VECMResumo
As teorias do crescimento económico sugerem que um sector financeiro desenvolvido pode promover o crescimento da economia. No entanto, a capacidade do sector financeiro para impulsionar o crescimento económico depende da sua capacidade de financiar a economia.
Este documento investiga a relação entre o crescimento económico de Marrocos e o desenvolvimento financeiro (DF). Baseamos o nosso estudo no papel crucial do sector bancário no crescimento económico dos países em desenvolvimento através da sua intermediação financeira. Para verificar esta relação, é utilizado o modelo vetorial de correção de erros (VECM) com base em dados secundários: PIB real per capita (PIB) e um conjunto de variáveis explicativas que representam o sector do desenvolvimento financeiro, especificamente o rácio do crédito ao sector privado (CPS) e variáveis de controlo, incluindo a percentagem do consumo público (PC), a taxa de juro real (IR), a abertura comercial (TO) e a taxa de inflação (INF). Os nossos dados secundários provêm da base de dados do Banco Central de Marrocos e abrangem 56 trimestres de 2007T1 a 2020T4. Os resultados confirmam os benefícios a longo e a curto prazo do desenvolvimento do sector financeiro para o crescimento económico em Marrocos.
Palavras-chave: crescimento económico, desenvolvimento financeiro, crédito privado à economia, modelo vetorial de correção de erros (VECM), Marrocos.
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Direitos de Autor (c) 2024 Rachida EL YAMANI
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