Melhor avaliação dos progressos do ODS 8
e dos progressos de todos os ODS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.23882/rmd.24242Palavras-chave:
Índice ODS, Índice Composto Sustentável, Média geométrica, Trajetória de progresso, Teste de hipótesesResumo
Antecedentes: Os métodos do índice dos ODS (Objetivos de Desenvolvimento Sustentável) que retratam o progresso e a extensão da sustentabilidade alcançada através da normalização dos indicadores e da soma ponderada sofrem de limitações e conduzem a diferentes classificações.
Métodos: O artigo propõe a agregação multiplicadora para calcular o índice a nível nacional para o progresso global do ODS-8 e o progresso de todos os 17 ODS a nível global.
Resultados: O índice proposto satisfaz propriedades desejáveis e facilita a identificação de metas críticas que requerem atenção gerencial para correção de medidas políticas, avaliação do progresso ao longo do tempo, distância das metas dos ODS num determinado ponto temporal, teste da hipótese estatística de igualdade de para dois países diferentes para um determinado ano e também para igualdade de para dois pontos temporais sucessivos.., traçar a trajetória de progresso a nível de país e calcular a medida de semelhança entre essas trajetórias registadas por um par de países.
Conclusão: O método proposto de agregações multiplicativas sem escalonamento e escolha de pesos oferece benefícios significativos e contribui para melhorar a agregação dos ODS evitando as principais limitações dos métodos de agregação existentes, recomenda-se. Sugerem-se estudos futuros.
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