Ensaios sobre a medição da pressão no mercado de câmbio em Marrocos

Autores

  • Ahmed Hrifa University Hassan I- ENCG Settat- Morocco

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.23882/rmd.23127

Palavras-chave:

taxa de câmbio, mercado de câmbio, Índice EMP, Depressão, Marrocos

Resumo

Este artigo tem como objetivo medir a pressão sobre o mercado cambial marroquino através do índice EMPI. Constatou-se que nenhuma crise foi sinalizada por esse índice durante os anos de 2018 e 2019, o que significa que a política de flexibilização gradual do regime cambial, que entrou em vigor em janeiro de 2018, teve papel fundamental nesse sentido. Consequentemente, esta reforma teria sem dúvida reduzido a pressão sobre a taxa de câmbio ao tornar a economia marroquina mais resiliente e menos vulnerável a choques exógenos. Assim, foram identificados 8 períodos de crise com probabilidades significativamente altas. Destes 8 períodos, podemos distinguir 3 períodos que têm sido planeados com mais intensidade, nomeadamente no segundo semestre de 2008, no primeiro semestre de 2012 e 2017.

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Publicado

2023-02-27

Como Citar

Hrifa, A. (2023). Ensaios sobre a medição da pressão no mercado de câmbio em Marrocos. [RMd] RevistaMultidisciplinar, 5(1), 181–197. https://doi.org/10.23882/rmd.23127